Ararat wrote:Armenian, Well i will agree with you that Robert Kocharyan was successfull to manage holding this status-quo for almost 9 years and i am sure that he will not sign any treaty in the near future.
Well, I'm glad you use logic and balance in your assessment of the current administration. There are Armenian idiots who enjoy doing the work for ZOG and Turks by attacking and slandering Kocharyan and company. No one would be happier than Americans and Turks if Kocharyan/Sarkisian's group gets defeated during the next elections.
Also i agree that the todays Government is not willing in general to give to azeris the lands, but the today's government has entered himself in such a position were sooner or later he must find a solution.
Yes, there obviously has to be a solution eventually. However, that does not means that it's this administration's fault that there has to be a solution. When you have international bodies such as the UN, WTO, IMF, EU, America, Turkey, Azerbaijan, Israel, Georgia, etc, working against you - what can you do? What you can do is play the "game" and keep doing what you think is best for your long term strategic plans. That is what I see the current administration doing and I applaud them for it.
Step by step they are speaking about referendum, return of azeri deportes, peace and diplomatic relations with turks etc etc ... I understand that they are doing this for the International Community, but note also that it has very demoralising effects on the Armenian population in Armenia. People are really begining to believe that sooner or later we must give lands. The idea of giving lands become normal, a politically correct idea, and loosed his taboo character.
The "masses" (hasarakutyun@) will always be unsatisfied and ignorant regardless of their "good" intentions. As a result, politicians can't, and should never, listen to the public for serious political decisions - especially when dealing with emotional and irrational people like Armenians. For obvious reasons, the public is not seriously consulted by governments even in the so-called "Democratic" nations of the West. I think most Armenians today mean well but they are totally ignorant of political science.
The Military corpus is also desoriented when the Defense minister is speaking much about peace-talks and less about rebuilding the liberated teritories near Artsakh...
The "military corpus" must first get to know the world they live in before they began to dictate long-term state policy. The military corpus in a place like the Caucasus should not get involved in international diplomacy. The military corpus we have is made up of simple men who somehow ended up in the Artsakh conflict, and now are war veterans with ideas. We have very few individuals like Seyran Ohanian who I believe to be a real military officer. The rest of our powerful military, men like the late Vazgen Sarkisian, are simple village folk, with village mentalities. As such, Jirayr means well and I respect him, but he is not familiar with the delicate nuances of international diplomacy.
However, this dose not mean that we should all close our eyes and allow officials in Yerevan to do whatever they want. When we see obvious and blatant mistakes, or treason, like the ones we saw with Levon Ter Petrosian, than the military and the public can step in and made proper adjustments in government. Thus far, I do not see any geostrategic problems coming out of Yerevan. Kocharyan and company have stopped the "Paul Gobble" plan, the "TARC" movement, Levon's treason, American meddling in Armenian politics and many-many other things. I also believe that the current administration has done a masterful job in strengthening Russo-Armenian relation, Irano-Armenian relations, at the same time kept close and cordial relations with the EU and America.
Unfortunately, most Armenians today only think about today, not tomorrow. Most Armenians only think about their stomachs. I understand simple people can not see past their stomachs or their wallets. The aforementioned comes from a lack of education, lack or self-respect, lack of experience and a lack of international exposure.
All this negative effects are accumulating, and guys like Jirayr Sefilyan who give all their life to this fight are loosing patience and trust to the supreme commendement.
These are natural situations within a complex political environment like the Caucasus. Thus, it is prudent to keep a cold and logical perspective regarding such matters.
The best solution must be the change of Official line of Republic Armenia.
I mean we must have strong precondition official preconditions toward Azerbaijan and Turkey.
Just examples of some minimal preconditions that today are not used.
1. The Nakhichevan question.
2. Financial retribution of Sumgait & Baku pogroms and ethnic cleansing
3. Recognition of Genocide
4. Financial retribution of 15 year of economic blocus.
5. Complete stop of hate propaganda by turko-azeris medias.
6. The question of Armenian deportees
etc etc.
Due to international pressure there is only so much official Yerevan can do openly upon the international stage. Due to our landlocked tiny nation with no economic power, ther eis only so much you can do upon the international stage. What you just outlined above applies to powerful nations with strong international backing. Thus far, we are in no position to make such demands.
As a matter of fact, if we are not careful we could be branded an "extremist state" like Serbia, North Korea or Iran by the international community. Therefore, put what I just said in a clear perspective and realize that there are do's and dont's in international diplomacy and politics. The preconditions you referred to must be created and expressed by non-governmental organizations such as the ARF, the Armenian Aryan Union, the Armenian Church, social organizations, etc.
It's time we mature as a people, it's time we being looking at international politics with a healthy balanced perspective.