predictions for the upcoming elections

[artsakh]

what are your predictions for the upcoming elections. Which parties will be elected?

My guesses:

1republican party
2Barkavach Hayastan
3dashink
4ARF

[Ararat]

BHK and Republicans is for sure.

For others there can be surprises.
The other day i was present at radical opposition rally .. There were a lot off people, so there can be surprises .

There are too many little parties.. And they will disperse the results.

p.s. I feel that the Dashinq of Samvel Babayan will have problems for entering the parliament

[Ararat]

/PanARMENIAN.Net/ There will be no Turkish observers at the Armenian May 12 parliamentary election, RA MFA Acting Spokesman Vladimir Karapetian. “Armenia and Turkey do not have diplomatic relations and that is why Turkish observers won’t be present at the election,” Karapetian said.

May 7 Turkish media spread information that Yerevan said "no" to independent Turkish election observers working with AGIT.

According to Ms. Urdur Gunnarsdottir, the spokesperson for the OSCE/ODIHR told a PanARMENIAN.Net reporter that invitations to observe the Armenian parliamentary election were sent to 44 states including Turkey. “The Armenian authorities rejected presence of Turkish observers. However, they have not furnished an explanation yet,” she said.

http://www.panarmenian.net/news/eng/?nid=22170

[Ararat]

Yesterday there were clashes between oppisition mitingue and the policemen. the clashes ocure on Nalbandyan street toward the Nationa Security building

[Ararat]

Parties that enter the parlament

HHK - Republicans
BHK - Gagik Tzarukyan
Dashnaks
Orinatz Yerkir - Arthur Baghdasaryan
Jarangutyun - Raffi Hovhanesyan

And this are the comments of OSCE

/PanARMENIAN.Net/ Parliamentarian elections in Armenia were democratic, Vice-President of the OSCE Parliamentary Assembly, head of OSCE PA observation mission Tone Tingsgaard stated to journalists in Yerevan. She said compared with previous elections, in principle the May 12 parliamentarian elections were held in accordance with international democratic standards.

[artsakh]

how does the AAU feel about the conduct of the elections? were they truly democratic as judged by international observers, or were the observers more busy "eating and drinking" in the restaurants, as Samvel Babayan puts it?

[Ararat]

Hi everybody

Well guys i was very busy with those elections.
Monitorings, press reactions and everything else.


The decision to boycot this elections by AAO was right. Because it was a just eastern market ( bazar ) not a elections.

I can just say one thing. My own analysis.

Big money buyed all the seats in the parliament.
All great parties distributed money to the people, from 5000-20000 for one vote. During the counting process the monitorers were buyed and keep silence. Opposition members were buyed.
People and parties in overall didn't protest the results just because everything was almost fair, as fair as in a market.

Some people say they have evidences that the final numbers were flowed but they did not provide evidences. the old opposition is out of parliament. Raffi entered because he was a relatively new man in armenian politics.
There are huge doubts that Orinatz Yerkir did not recieve such votes but he was kept in parliament just to assure Europeans silence. It is well known that Arthur is the man of European masonry, so they kept his nominal presence.
Dashnaks got their votes normaly.
Bargavach also got his votes normaly. Some people are saying that HHK lowed down BHK's results just for not leting Gaguik Tzarukyan to have greater influence before the presidential election.

Opposition is completly defeated because they didn't achieve to unite and to control the counting process.
But the most cinical was the reaction of European monitoring group who said that everything was fair.

This was a DemoCRAZYNESS
I think it is time to understand one thing. This system will not last long. Not because i am believing in democracy. No. I just say that people in Armenia don't anymore believe in democratic system and he is actively participating in the sabotaging this system.
The protest of the masses is now changing their carachter and sooner or later it will have a form of Ideological Revolution.

[Armanen]

he is actively participating in the sabotaging this system.

Who are you referring to?

[Ararat]

Who are you referring to?

well perhaps i should use another word. The common people is ignoring this , he did not aprove it, but he didn't actively fight it as in the past.
People just are waiting to see what will happen next.

[Armanen]

I understand, you're referring to the population, so you meant they, rather than he.

Why do you think the people were more passive in this election, if in fact it was false like the previous ones?

[Ararat]

Why do you think the people were more passive in this election, if in fact it was false like the previous ones?

No they were not as passive as in previous times. People voted, but they voted for money, a lot off people recieved money in this elections. They didn't vote for their political program or anything else. Nobody was interested in political agenda.

[Armanen]

Well, when the choice is between dissent with no money and the possibility of a harsh response by the authorities, or quiet acquiescence and money, it's not difficult to understand why many people chose the first option. It's unfortunate, but many people still don't have enough money to make ends meet. At the very least, the west didn't bitch about these elections, so it's not all bad news.

[Ararat]

At the very least, the west didn't bitch about these elections, so it's not all bad news.

Yes West was calm this time.
Perhaps they are waiting for 2008-Presidential elections.

[artsakh]

“Zhamanak Yerevan” quotes the leader of the Social Democrat Hnchakian Party as blaming President Robert Kocharian and the Armenian Revolutionary Federation (Dashnaktsutyun) for its extremely poor showing in the parliamentary elections. “It is known that our party, which was set up in 1887, is marking its 120th anniversary,” says Lyudmila Sargsian. “Dashnaktsutyun, which was created in 1890, still can’t forgive us for the fact that our party is not only three years older but is a historical reality, that Dashnaktsutyun is merely a Hnchakian splinter group.” Sargsian claims that another reason why votes were allegedly stolen from the Hnchaks is the fact that the father of Kocharian’s press secretary Victor Soghomonian, Ernest Soghomonian, was expelled from the party several years ago for embezzling party funds. “So given the warm feelings harbored by Robert Kocharian towards his beloved Dashnaktsutyun and his young spokesman, we ended up in the last place,” she says.

http://www.armenialiberty.org/press/pre ... FC407A.asp

[Ararat]

Hnchaks organised actions of protest toward the Central election comitee building